Monday, June 23, 2003

Buy One, Get One Free
No one should have any illusions that Iran's Islamic theocracy is about to fold tomorrow. Iran's clerical rulers are tough and ruthless and have a monopoly of power. But many of their people detest them. And while Iran will play out by its own logic, there is no question that if the other big, predominantly Shiite state in the region, the one right next door, the one called Iraq, were to become a reasonably decent, democratizing polity of the sort Iranians are demanding for themselves, it would pressure Iran's clerics to open up. Continue...
I do not believe in this issue that Iraq could be a good example for Iranian in order to achieve democracy. Iraq with lots of ethical problem is far more behindhand than Iran in the way of democracy. So far, Americans have not taken any efficient steps in order to establish a democratic government in Iraq. Bringing Saddam down was the easiest part of the job. Now Americans are facing with serious dilemmas. In one hand, they are threatened by the Sunnites groups, which are mostly loyal to Saddam. And in the other hand Shiites groups, which habitually follow the Iranian cleric regime, are not trustable enough. Kurd rebellions in north of Iraq are also the biggest dilemma for America. Giving any power to Kurds could threaten establishment of the region and could cause division in some counties such as Turkey or Syria.
But situation in Iran is very different. Iranians don’t need any physical action from outside to achieve their goals. Demanding democracy and freedom in Iran has been taking gradual steps for several years. It has not been an easy process for the people but Iranians have already found out that is feasible. They will achieve democracy at first and then they will feel the sweetness of freedom. Not like Iraqi people who received the freedom as a gift and now they are unable to use it to arrive at democracy.


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